POULTRY BREEDING AND HATCHERY RESILIENCE PLATFORM

The project proposes developing an integrated platform for poultry breeding, hatching-egg production, and the supply of day-old chicks (DOC) to commercial farms. The opportunity is not framed as a simple lack of physical capacity: the project addresses a possible deficit in modern and secure capacity, suitable genetic material, biosecurity, traceability, biological performance, and predictable linkage with commercial farms. Existing local capacities must be assessed through actual utilisation, genetics, compliance and results, not merely the number of authorised units.

The sizing of approximately 22,000 parent-stock hens and up to approximately 3.19 million DOC/year is an indicative annual capacity used in the initial analysis. At the current stage, ~22,000 represents the scale of analysis for the parent flock, and the exact temporal definition (simultaneous flock, females/cohort, or annual flock) remains to be confirmed. Annual capacity results from cumulative productivity per cycle and the annualisation factor, which depends on cycle length, batch staggering and sanitary breaks; the model provisionally uses a factor of 1.00, to be recalibrated after technical validation. It is not equivalent to import substitution: even though National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) data for 2025 confirm rising imports under HS code 010511, the proposed scale exceeds the observed import volume and implies a combination of selective substitution, growth of the domestic market, replacement or supplementation of less-performing local capacities, and possibly exports.